Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.001427 0.001503 0.001582 0.001668 0.001761 0.001858 0.001967
2025-06-08 0.001309 0.001419 0.001536 0.001670 0.001820 0.001984 0.002176
2025-06-15 0.001214 0.001344 0.001486 0.001654 0.001849 0.002069 0.002337
2025-06-22 0.001145 0.001289 0.001451 0.001647 0.001880 0.002151 0.002493
2025-06-29 0.001083 0.001237 0.001413 0.001631 0.001897 0.002213 0.002623
2025-07-06 0.001029 0.001190 0.001376 0.001612 0.001905 0.002262 0.002736
2025-07-13 0.000971 0.001134 0.001326 0.001572 0.001884 0.002271 0.002796
2025-07-20 0.000941 0.001111 0.001313 0.001577 0.001917 0.002347 0.002946
2025-07-27 0.000917 0.001093 0.001306 0.001587 0.001956 0.002431 0.003109
2025-08-03 0.000900 0.001082 0.001306 0.001606 0.002006 0.002532 0.003299
2025-08-10 0.000875 0.001060 0.001290 0.001603 0.002026 0.002592 0.003433
2025-08-17 0.000838 0.001022 0.001253 0.001570 0.002003 0.002592 0.003481
2025-08-24 0.000808 0.000994 0.001228 0.001555 0.002008 0.002634 0.003599
2025-08-31 0.000789 0.000978 0.001221 0.001562 0.002044 0.002722 0.003793
2025-09-07 0.000764 0.000953 0.001199 0.001549 0.002051 0.002768 0.003926
2025-09-14 0.000742 0.000933 0.001183 0.001543 0.002066 0.002827 0.004080
2025-09-21 0.000720 0.000910 0.001162 0.001529 0.002069 0.002866 0.004205
2025-09-28 0.000697 0.000887 0.001140 0.001512 0.002065 0.002895 0.004315
2025-10-05 0.000669 0.000856 0.001105 0.001475 0.002031 0.002875 0.004339
2025-10-12 0.000657 0.000845 0.001099 0.001480 0.002059 0.002953 0.004536
2025-10-19 0.000647 0.000837 0.001096 0.001489 0.002094 0.003043 0.004760
2025-10-26 0.000640 0.000833 0.001099 0.001506 0.002143 0.003158 0.005036
2025-11-02 0.000627 0.000820 0.001089 0.001503 0.002159 0.003219 0.005218